The premise behind behavioral predictions is that the most accurate predictor of future actions is past responses in similar situations. In other words, a response to a historical event can predict how an individual will answer a similar situation that might occur tomorrow. After all, history does repeat itself.
Behavioral job interviews follow the same premise. Major businesses have been using this technique since the 1970’s. Statistics show that this interviewing approach accurately predicts 55 percent of someone’s subsequent reaction to a similar situation as opposed to a 10% insight using a conventional interviewing approach.
Individual behavior, once considered to be plastic, now is thought to be much more predictable. A large number of studies have shown that repeatability in behavior can be predicted and valuable insight into what factors can influence repeatability. Age, sex, race, and upbringing all play a role but most importantly what types of behaviors are more repeatable.
Within the field of animal behavior, consistent individual differences among species is obviously observable over time. Most notably by discerning similar behavior on different occasions. Are we not animals ourselves?
The picture above shows, a student and teacher guarding a Delaware high school in 1973 after someone called in a shooting threat during a morning class. Juniors, seniors, and teachers went to their cars and trucks to grab their guns to guard the doors between classes. No shooter ever arrived.
Statistics show that guns save more lives than they take and prevent more injuries than they inflict. Citizens shoot and kill more criminals than police do every year. Human behavior will remain consistent and is not a variable. Arm yourself and let’s deter crime together.
by: Gregg Fikes